Campaign 2010

Sep 07, 2010

House Democrats: Races District by District

While Republican Leader John Boehner and House Republicans are measuring the drapes, a recent crop of district by district polls show Democrats in a strong position for November.  Here are some highlights of the recent polling:

 

DCCC Independent Expenditure Polls

 

Arcuri Leading Hanna by 13 in NY-24 Poll

A new Benenson Strategy Group poll shows Representative Mike Arcuri leading Republican challenger Richard Hanna by 13 percent.  In the initial head-to-head, Arcuri leads Hanna 50 to 37 percent.  Conducted August 29-31, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error. [DCCC release, 9/7/10]

 

Bright Leading Roby by 9 in AL-02 Poll

A new Greenberg Quinlan Rosner poll shows Representative Bobby Bright leading Republican challenger Martha Roby by 9 percent.  In the initial head-to-head in the race for Alabama’s 2nd congressional district, Bright leads Roby 52 to 43 percent.  Conducted August 23-26, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error. [DCCC release, 9/7/10]

 

Herseth Sandlin Leading Noem in SD-AL Poll

A new Anzalone Liszt Research poll shows Representative Stephanie Herseth Sandlin leading Republican challenger Kristi Noem by 9 percent in a two-way match up and by 11 percent in a three-way match up.  In the initial head-to-head, Herseth Sandlin leads Noem 50 to 41 percent.  When including independent candidate B. Thomas Marking, Herseth Sandlin’s lead expands to 50 percent to 39 percent with Marking receiving 4 percent. Conducted August 31-September 2, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error. [DCCC release, 9/7/10]

 

Kissell Leading Johnson by 12 in NC-08 Poll

A new Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research poll shows Representative Larry Kissell leading Republican challenger Harold Johnson by 12 percent.  In the initial head-to-head in the race for North Carolina’s 8th congressional district, Kissell leads Johnson 48 to 36 percent.  Libertarian Thomas Hill received 6 percent. Conducted August 25-29, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error. [DCCC release, 9/7/10]

 

Perriello Tied in VA-05 Poll

A  new Global Strategy Group poll that shows Representative Tom Perriello is statistically tied with Republican candidate, Virginia State Senator Robert Hurt.  In the initial head-to-head in the race for Virginia’s 5th congressional district, Perriello is within the margin of error against Hurt, 42 to 44 percent.  Clark received 6 percent.  Conducted August 24-26 , the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.  [DCCC release, 9/7/10]

 

Campaign Polls

 

Adler Leading Runyan by 17 in NJ-03 Poll

A recent poll from Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research shows Representative John Adler leading Republican challenger Jon Runyan by 17 percent.  Adler leads Runyan 51 percent to 34 percent.  The poll was conducted in late June. [Washington Post; 7/13/10]

 

Altmire Leading Rothfus by 27 in PA-04 Poll

A new poll from Anzalone Liszt Research shows Representative Jason Altmire leading Republican challenger Keith Rothfus by 27 percent.  Altmire leads Rothfus 51 percent to 24 percent.  Conducted August 30-September 2, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters. [pa2010, 9/7/10]

 

Boucher Leading Griffith by 23 in VA-09 Poll

A recent poll from Benenson Strategy Group shows Representative Rick Boucher leading Republican challenger Morgan Griffith by 23 percent.  Boucher leads Griffith 55 percent to 32 percent.  Conducted August 18-22, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 margin of error. [Hotline; 9/1/10]

 

Childers Leading Nunnelee by 5 in MS-01 Poll

A new Anzalone Liszt Research poll shows Representative Travis Childers leading Republican challenger Alan Nunnelee by 5 percent.  Childers leads Nunnelee 46 percent to 41 percent.  Conducted August 30-September 1, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error. [The Hill, 9/7/10]

 

Causey Tied With Crawford in AR-01 Poll

A recent poll from Garin-Hart-Yang Research shows Chad Causey statistically tied with Republican candidate Rick Crawford. [Washington Post; 8/23/10]

 

Seals Leads Dold by 13 in IL-10 Poll

A new Anzalone Liszt Research poll shows Democrat Dan Seals leading Republican Robert Dold by 13 percent.  Seals leads Dold 49 percent to 36 percent, a slightly bigger margin than Seals’ 46-38 lead in May.  Conducted August 30-September 2, the poll surveyed 500 likely voters and has a 4.4 percent margin of error. [Seals Release; 9/7/10]

 

Schrader Leading Bruun by 11 in OR-05 Poll

A recent Lake Research Partners poll shows Representative Kurt Schrader leading Republican Scott Bruun by 11 percent.  In the initial head-to-head in the race, Schrader leads Bruun 46 percent to 35 percent. Conducted July 21-25, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 margin of error.  [Lake Research Partners Memo; 8/24/10]

 

Shuler Leading Miller by 17 in NC-11 Poll

A recent Anzalone Liszt Research poll shows Representative Heath Shuler leading Republican challenger Jeff Miller by 17 percent.  Shuler leads Miller 51 percent to 34 percent.  Conducted July 8-13, the poll surveyed 500 likely voters and has a 4.4 margin of error. [CQ-Roll Call, 8/30/10]

 

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