Campaign 2010

Jun 11, 2014

Heading Into Convention, National Republicans Vote “No Confidence” in IA-03 Republicans

With less than two weeks until convention, national Republicans have dealt a setback to the candidates in IA-03, again bypassing them from their “Young Guns” list. After adding other Republican candidates facing primaries to their lists, here are four reasons why national Republicans are voting “no confidence” in their Iowa candidates:

  1. At the convention, candidates will play “Follow the Leader,” and race to the right of 2010 nominee Brad Zaun. Candidates who want to have a chance of overtaking the frontrunner will need to race to the right and embrace similar positions to Zaun, most notably his support for Personhood, which would outlaw common forms of contraception.
  2. No one could break 30 percent in the primary last week. Zaun emerged with the most votes last Tuesday and told the Des Moines Register: “I'm very happy where I am at. I am in first place.” Zaun also won Polk County, the district’s largest, which is home to a large number of convention delegates.
  3. The convention is nearly two weeks away, and Republicans are already at war. Iowa reporters were abuzz over the weekend with reports that the candidates were already at war with each other over the time and date for the convention. After days of confusion, the party moved the convention from Creston, Iowa to Urbandale Iowa, home of frontrunner Brad Zaun. Meanwhile, reports on Twitter emerged that Republican activists were emailing each other about how fourth-place finisher Monte Shaw once supported Democrats, including Staci Appel.  
  4. Whoever exits the primary will be broke. All of the Republican candidates entered the primary with less than $150,000 cash on hand, according to FEC reports, and have spent thousands of dollars on TV ads since leading up to the primary. Meanwhile, as Republicans focus on the time-intensive process of courting the more than 500 expected convention delegates, Staci Appel, who has already raised more than $860,000 for her election, will be have the time to build her cash on hand advantage.